SPOT NIFTY CLOSED THE WEAK AROUND 5886 EXACTLY AT 20 WEEK EMA & 34 WEEK SMA, AFTER BOUNCING OFF FROM THE FRIDAY’S WEEKLY LOW OF 5869 THAT TOO EXACTLY FROM THE 20 WEEK SMA WHICH TOO WAS AT THE WEEKLY PIVOT. ALTHOUGH AFTER THREE DAYS OF SAVAGE FALLS FROM THE JULY MONTH FULL MOON LUNAR CYCLE HIGH OF 6093 REACHED JUST A DAY AFTER THE FULL MOON OF 22ND JULY, NIFTY NOW CERTAINLY LOOKS FOR A RESPITE, BUT THE PRICE ACTION OF THE DAILY AS WELL AS THE WEEKLY CHARTS MAY ENCOURAGE BEARS TO HOLD THE TAILS OF THE BULLS, WHIP THEM LEFT, RIGHT & CENTER TO CHASE THEM AWAY EVERY TIME THE BULLS ATTEMPT TO ENCROACH BEARS 40 POINT SPOT NIFTY ZONE BETWEEN 5960 TO 6000. WELL, THE BULLS NEED STEROID POWER FROM EXTERNAL SOURCES TO BREACH THE CRITICAL 5960 TO 6000 SPOT NIFTY ZONE & MORE IMPORTANTLY SUSTAIN ABOVE IT IN ORDER TO SURVIVE MARKET DROWNING MONTH OF AUGUST AFTER THE RBI GOVERNOR’S AS USUAL MARKET DROWNING ANNOUNCEMENT SCHEDULED FOR 31ST JULY.
IN THE WEEKLY CHARTS OF SPOT NIFTY, THE CANDLE OF LAST WEEK HAS MADE AN OUT SIDE CANDLE SET UP WITH ITS PREVIOUS WEEK’S CANDLE OF WEEK ENDING 19TH JUNE. THE HIGH & LOW OF THE MOTHER CANDLE OF LAST WEEK AT 6093 & 5869 WILL PLAY A CRITICAL ROLE IN DECIDING THE FATE OF THE COMING FEW WEEKS STARTING FROM MONDAY 29TH JULY. A DECISIVE BREACH AND CLOSE BELOW THE SPOT NIFTY LEVEL OF 5868 EVEN ON A DAILY BASIS IS GOOD ENOUGH TO ASSUME THAT THIS YEAR’S AUGUST MONTH IS GOING TO BE NO BETTER THAN EVEN ITS ALTERNATE YEAR AUGUST OF 2011 OR AT THE BEST THIS AUGUST MAY BE SIMILAR TO THE TYPICAL FLAT, DOJI CANDLE AUGUST MONTHS OF 2012, 2010,2009 & 2008. OPTION WRITERS MAY HAVE A DREAM MONTH OF AUGUST BY WRITING BOTH CALLS OF 6200 & 6100 ON RISE OF NIFTY AND WRITE PUTS OF 5700 OR LOWER ON FALL OF NIFTY FOR GOOD GAINS DURING THE AUGUST EXPIRY ALTHOUGH A MONTHLY CLOSE MUCH BELOW THE CRITICAL LEVEL OF 5868 SPOT MAY TILT THE BALANCE HEAVILY IN FAVOR OF CALL WRITERS THAT SHOULD MAKE THE PUT WRITERS HIGHLY CAUTIOUS.
IN THE DAILY CHARTS, SPOT NIFTY’S FRIDAY CLOSING AROUND 5886 BELOW THE CROSS OVER OF BOTH 20 & 50 DMA SENDS DANGER SIGNALS FOR THE BULLS TO BE PREPARED NOT TO ALLOW NIFTY SPOT TO CLOSE BELOW 5858 EVEN TOUGH INTRADAY FALLS CAN TAKE IT DOWN TOWARDS 5848 AROUND THE 200 DMA & ALSO 34 DMA JUST BELOW THE DAILY PIVOT AT 5868 TO WEED OUT WEAKER BULLS & ALSO ENCOURAGE WEAKER BEARS TO BOOK SOME PROFIT. WELL, IF THE BULLS SURRENDER THESE CRITICAL SPOT LEVELS BETWEEN 5868 TO 5844 THEN THEY HAVE TO SEEK THE HELP OF RESTING BULLS IN BATCHES INITIALLY AROUND THE 34 WEEK EMA AREA OF 5828 & NEXT AROUND 200 DAY EMA AREA OF 5790 WHICH IS JUST A STONES THROW FROM THE BIGGER DITCH AROUND 5760. THE 7TH NRB CANDLE HIGH OF 23RD JULY AT 6093 SPOT WAS A GREAT SWING HIGH FOR SWING SHORTERS TO HOLD THE SHORTS TILL THIS SWING HIGH OF 6093 IS STOPPED OUT. DAILY SUPPORTS & RESISTANCES FOR SPOT NIFTY ARE MENTIONED ON THE TWO HOURLY CHART OF NIFTY ABOVE, A DECISIVE BREACH OF EACH SUPPORT OR RESISTANCE IS LIKELY TO SEE THE NEXT LEVEL.
IN THE WEEKLY CHARTS OF SPOT NIFTY, THE CANDLE OF LAST WEEK HAS MADE AN OUT SIDE CANDLE SET UP WITH ITS PREVIOUS WEEK’S CANDLE OF WEEK ENDING 19TH JUNE. THE HIGH & LOW OF THE MOTHER CANDLE OF LAST WEEK AT 6093 & 5869 WILL PLAY A CRITICAL ROLE IN DECIDING THE FATE OF THE COMING FEW WEEKS STARTING FROM MONDAY 29TH JULY. A DECISIVE BREACH AND CLOSE BELOW THE SPOT NIFTY LEVEL OF 5868 EVEN ON A DAILY BASIS IS GOOD ENOUGH TO ASSUME THAT THIS YEAR’S AUGUST MONTH IS GOING TO BE NO BETTER THAN EVEN ITS ALTERNATE YEAR AUGUST OF 2011 OR AT THE BEST THIS AUGUST MAY BE SIMILAR TO THE TYPICAL FLAT, DOJI CANDLE AUGUST MONTHS OF 2012, 2010,2009 & 2008. OPTION WRITERS MAY HAVE A DREAM MONTH OF AUGUST BY WRITING BOTH CALLS OF 6200 & 6100 ON RISE OF NIFTY AND WRITE PUTS OF 5700 OR LOWER ON FALL OF NIFTY FOR GOOD GAINS DURING THE AUGUST EXPIRY ALTHOUGH A MONTHLY CLOSE MUCH BELOW THE CRITICAL LEVEL OF 5868 SPOT MAY TILT THE BALANCE HEAVILY IN FAVOR OF CALL WRITERS THAT SHOULD MAKE THE PUT WRITERS HIGHLY CAUTIOUS.
IN THE DAILY CHARTS, SPOT NIFTY’S FRIDAY CLOSING AROUND 5886 BELOW THE CROSS OVER OF BOTH 20 & 50 DMA SENDS DANGER SIGNALS FOR THE BULLS TO BE PREPARED NOT TO ALLOW NIFTY SPOT TO CLOSE BELOW 5858 EVEN TOUGH INTRADAY FALLS CAN TAKE IT DOWN TOWARDS 5848 AROUND THE 200 DMA & ALSO 34 DMA JUST BELOW THE DAILY PIVOT AT 5868 TO WEED OUT WEAKER BULLS & ALSO ENCOURAGE WEAKER BEARS TO BOOK SOME PROFIT. WELL, IF THE BULLS SURRENDER THESE CRITICAL SPOT LEVELS BETWEEN 5868 TO 5844 THEN THEY HAVE TO SEEK THE HELP OF RESTING BULLS IN BATCHES INITIALLY AROUND THE 34 WEEK EMA AREA OF 5828 & NEXT AROUND 200 DAY EMA AREA OF 5790 WHICH IS JUST A STONES THROW FROM THE BIGGER DITCH AROUND 5760. THE 7TH NRB CANDLE HIGH OF 23RD JULY AT 6093 SPOT WAS A GREAT SWING HIGH FOR SWING SHORTERS TO HOLD THE SHORTS TILL THIS SWING HIGH OF 6093 IS STOPPED OUT. DAILY SUPPORTS & RESISTANCES FOR SPOT NIFTY ARE MENTIONED ON THE TWO HOURLY CHART OF NIFTY ABOVE, A DECISIVE BREACH OF EACH SUPPORT OR RESISTANCE IS LIKELY TO SEE THE NEXT LEVEL.